MARKETS 0MARKETS 0MARKETS 0OPEN 0OPEN 0OPEN 0POOL 0.0 SOLPOOL 0.0 SOLPOOL 0.0 SOL

ARENA — KOL PREDICTION MARKETS · SELF-FUNDING $ARENA FLYWHEEL

Bet on the
traders, not
the tokens.

Live prediction markets on Solana’s top KOL traders. Will Cented finish top 10 today? Will theo go negative this week? Markets resolve from the kolscan leaderboard — no oracles, no committees. Two flywheels fund liquidity and burn $ARENA. How it works →

KOL LEADERBOARD
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What you trade

Outcome shares on KOL leaderboard finishes — top-N rank, head-to-head, daily/weekly/monthly PnL thresholds. Shares are priced $0–$1 by an LMSR market maker.

How prices work

YES at $0.40 = 40% probability. Buy shares, price rises. Sell shares, price falls. Trade in and out at any time. The market is the consensus.

How you win

Winning shares pay $1 each. Bought at $0.40? That’s 2.5×. Markets resolve automatically against the kolscan snapshot at deadline.

BUILT WITH
kolscanSolanaSolanaPhantomSolflareDune AnalyticsNext.jsHelius RPCJupiterPythLuloSolana Pay
LMSR

TOKENS 24H

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GRADUATES

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VOLUME

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GRAD RATE

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PUMP.FUN

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LIVE MKTS

0

POOL

0.0 SOL

PLATFORMS

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SHARE

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ARENA

ARENA · KOL PREDICTION MARKETS

THE CHAIN IS THE JUDGE

PLATFORM LEADERBOARD — TODAY

BY DEPLOY COUNT
#PLATFORMDEPLOYSGRADSSHARE

GRADUATION RATE BY PLATFORM

GRADS ÷ DEPLOYS

MARKET SENTIMENT

AGGREGATE ACROSS ALL POOLS
YES 50%
NO 50%

TOTAL POOL

0.00 SOL

AVG / MARKET

0.00 SOL

TRADERS

0

MARKETS

0 live

01

Buy shares

Pick YES or NO. Pay SOL, receive outcome shares priced by the AMM. Price = probability.

02

Trade anytime

Sell shares back at the current price whenever you want. No lock-up. Continuous market.

03

Price moves

Every buy pushes that side's price up. Every sell pushes it down. Supply and demand.

04

Resolution

At deadline, Dune data resolves the market. Winning shares pay 1 SOL each. Losing = 0.

EXAMPLE — 10 SOL BET ON YES

You buy10 SOL on YES when price is $0.40
10 SOL →
Fee (5%)4% protocol + 1% LP to seeders
- 0.50 SOL
Shares received9.50 SOL ÷ ~$0.43 avg price
≈ 22.4 YES shares
Price movesYour buy pushed YES from $0.40 → $0.51
↑ $0.11

WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

IF YES WINS — Market resolves YES

22.4 shares × $1.0022.4 SOL
Profit (22.4 - 10)+12.4 SOL (+124%)

SELL EARLY — Price rose to $0.72

22.4 shares × ~$0.66 avg sell (after 5% fee)~14.8 SOL
Profit (14.8 - 10)+4.8 SOL (+48%)

IF NO WINS — Market resolves NO

22.4 shares × $0.000 SOL
Loss-10 SOL (100%)

DEFI INFRASTRUCTURE

LULO

Yield on Escrow

Idle SOL in market escrows earns yield via Lulo — routing through Kamino, Drift, MarginFi, and Jupiter lending. Auto-deposit when balance exceeds threshold. Auto-withdraw on resolution.

~8% APY
PYTH

Oracle Resolution

Price-based markets resolve trustlessly via Pyth Network. Real-time feeds for SOL, BTC, ETH, BONK, WIF, JUP. Confidence intervals checked — resolution deferred if spread is too wide.

6 feeds
JUPITER

Any-Token Entry

Bet with any SPL token. Jupiter Ultra swaps your token to SOL on deposit, swaps winnings back to your preferred token on payout. Gasless swaps, 5–10 bps built-in.

All SPL
SOLANA PAY

Scan to Bet

Every market generates QR codes for YES and NO. Scan with Phantom or Solflare, sign one transaction, position recorded. Works on any mobile wallet that supports Solana Pay.

1-tap bet

SHARE PRICING (LMSR)

Pricing modelAutomated market maker
LMSR AMM
YES sharePrice = probability
$0.00 – $1.00
NO shareAlways YES + NO = $1
$0.00 – $1.00
Trade feeOn every buy and sell
5%
Protocol cut→ buy/burn $ARENA
4% (or 3.5%)
LP cut→ seeders pro-rata
1%
Creator cutUser-created markets only
0.5%
ResolutionPer share
Win = $1, Lose = $0

RESOLUTION PROTOCOL

MetricsDune Analytics
PricesPyth Network (SOL, BTC, ETH…)
Deploys#4010816 → daily_token_count
Graduates#5131612 → daily_graduates
Volume#5440992 → volume_usd
Grad rategraduates ÷ deploys × 100
Auto-resolveEvery 6h via cron

You already have opinions.

Put SOL on them. The chain is the judge.

Enter →